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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2021-07-26T16:48:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2021-07-26T16:48Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17393/-1
CME Note: Partial halo to the southwest in SOHO LASCO/C2, to the west in COR2A. Associated with an eruption from AR 12847 (near S30E00), visible in SDO AIA 171/193 beginning 2021-07-26T14:57Z.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-07-29T16:41Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:

Utilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021]

% Compiled module: EAM_V3.
******************************************************************************
Most pr. speed = 610.0 km/s 
The EAM version you are running is: v3
u_r =      376.830
Acceleration:       1.57811
Duration in seconds:        258816.32
Duration in days:        2.9955592
t2 is negative
**************************************************************************************
Acceleration of the CME:   1.58 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  785.3 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 29/07/2021 Time: 16:41 UT

Lead Time: 57.68 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2021-07-27T07:00Z

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